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2023년 4월 22일 토요일

The disadvantages of the Cold War

This joke was circulating in Israel at a time when Israel was unconditionally winning when it fought a war against a neighboring Middle Eastern country.

 

In the face of a prolonged economic recession, Israel's cabinet sought a solution to the difficulty.

 

The Secretary of State for Economic Affairs suggested that Israel send a warship to bomb New York. Then Israel will go to war with the United States. Then, of course, Israel will lose, and the United States will revive the Israeli economy by providing economic aid like the Marshall Plan, the economy minister said.

 

Then the Secretary of Defense was worried. That's true, but if Israel wins, how are you going to handle the situation?

 

It's not the nature of this joke, but the economy is important. And the economy is intertwined. During the Cold War, the United States and the Soviet Union used up a lot of national power due to economic and military competition. The Soviet Union eventually collapsed, and the United States suffered many victims through the Korean War and the Vietnam War.

 

The new Cold War crisis is attributable to the rise of conservative ideas beyond national interests. China and Russia are 'more' conservative. In the difficult environment and the absence of information, conflict gains strength rather than cooperation. This is because the path to conflict is easy and stimulating. As an individual, it is like becoming violent or depressed in the middle-aged period when the mind and body are declining, becoming unstable and leading the situation to a conflict. In addition, the path of conflict is easy and stimulating, so it obtains path dependence. It means that it is increasingly easy to be dragged in.

 

These days, the attitude of German or French leaders negotiating with China for the national interest (without firming the US side) is not to be viewed as a conflictist view. In other words, it can be said that China is showing an attitude to cooperate with the West.


https://hyeong-chun.blogspot.com/search?q=russia 


Even if Russia fails in the war with Ukraine, it is difficult to say that the regime will collapse. I have expressed my opinion a few times in a roundabout way, but it will not be Putin's dogmatic intentions. It is inevitable for North Korea and Russia that there are many people who will accept the bad situation as fate if the conditions are as bad as they are now. Therefore, the situation should always be judged in the long run, and international relations should also have a long-term perspective.


A good leader should be able to persuade the United States, Russia, or China to actively improve the Cold War situation, not to be dragged passively. This is because the U.S. will also want a gradual victory (cooperation).

 

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