New Cold War and the Korean Peninsula

North Korea is taking a tough stance because of the fact that a North Korean defector sent leaflets to the North Korea. I understand North Korean defectors. However, such an act is a provocation by civilians against North Korea. And such behavior is also bad for the future of relations between South Korea and North Korea in the 21st century.

The South Korean government failed to control the spread of leaflets by North Korean defectors while focusing on internal affairs related to the Corona incident. North Korea is in a situation where difficult economic conditions overlap with the Corona crisis. Moreover, North Korea has only seen bad things while specific exchanges with South Korea and the United States have been delayed.

Chinese medical staff were urgently dispatched to North Korea as the Corona crisis reached its peak. I imagine a lot of appointments with the medical staff would come to North Korea together. Russia has provided 23,000 tons of wheat to North Korea. In addition, the Russian ambassador said North Korea would not negotiate with the United States before the U.S. presidential election. The Russian ambassador’s words contained a clear and concise authority of the benefactor side. It was not South Korea and the U.S. that gave realistic help to North Korea in difficult situations.

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Instead of Chairman Kim Jung-un, Vice Minister Kim Yo-jung will probably have a reason for it. 1) The intention is not to take the issue to extremes yet. 2) A Loyal Relationship with the South Korean President on Agreeing on Cooperation between the Two Countries at the Inter-Korean Summit 3) Chairman Kim’s safety code or as leader may have the intention of working-level education of Vice Minister Kim Yo-jung

Unlike North Korea and China, where power is concentrated on the head of the government, South Korea and the U.S. are liberal countries. That is why there is strong public opinion against North Korea in South Korea and the United States. As the South Korean government banned North Korean defectors from sending leaflets by law, some say it is a submissive attitude toward the North Korea. Meanwhile, one example is that there is an opinion in the U.S that seeks to see a collective and extreme conclusion rather than a phased negotiation.

These days, North Korea and South Korea are forced to side with each other amid antagonism between the United States and China. North Korea professes to stand on the side of China, which is certainly helpful. It seems justified for North Korea, which has been cut off from the world, to stand on the side of a helping country. China tells South Korea not to get involved in the Hong Kong crisis as a friend. (Personally, when I’m on the U.S. side, people who used to send messages on Twitter often use the word “friend”to me. So I knew he was Chinese.) There was a strong sense of warning in the expression “friend”.

The United States is trying to bring South Korea into the C7 conference. These days, the Korean Peninsula faces a very classical environment. It returned to the Cold War era between the Soviet Union and the United States. The Soviet Union has only been replaced ny China. China has forgotten its much brighter and more flexible past.

The U.S. should have pursued both lifting economic restrictions on North Korea and denuclearization negotiations. The future of North Korea and the stability of Kim Jong-un’s regime are closely related. If there is a sudden change in North Korea, the North Korea will be thrown into chaos like the Middle Eastern countries. Under the circumstances, the North Korean military, which is likely to take power, received only ideological education and war-related education. When another character appears, there must be foreign intervention. Relations between North Korea and the United States could get worse.

Truman’s first instinct was to get along with Stalin, especially since the American chiefs of staff remained anxious for Soviet participation in the war against Japan. Although he had been put off by Molotov’s intransigent behavior at his first encounter with the Soviet Foreign Minister in April 1945, he ascribed the difficulties to a difference in historical experience. “We have to get tough with Russians,” Truman said. “They don’t know how to behave. They are like bulls in a china shop. They are only twenty-five years old. We are over a hundred and the British are centuries older. We have got to teach them how to behave.”

- [ DIPLOMACY ] BY HENRY KISSINGER -